J'lem, Arab League Split Over Delegation: Some Say They Will Be No Shows

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July 10, 2007

J'lem, Arab League split over delegation:  Some Say They Will Be No Shows

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"I will be happy if I could make peace with Syria. I do not want to wage war against Syria."  http://web.israelinsider.com/Articles/Diplomacy/11657.htm

These are the words of Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert broadcast during an historic interview on Saudi satellite station Al Arabiya on Monday.  But the Syrian government has rejected the prime ministers plea for negotiations.

Not only have they rejected calls by Israel to seek peace, according to both Israeli and US intelligence reports, Syria is in the process of preparing for a full scale war with Israel if they do not return the Golan Heights by August-September of 2007.  

It's also been determined that they have already distributed alternative phone numbers of strategic planners and leaders in preparation for an expected retaliatory bombing of Damascus once the war begins.  

Israeli intelligence has noticed other telling signs of war as well:

"Israeli security officials confirmed the stepped-up military presence of Syrian troops deployed along the Syrian side of the Golan Heights with strengthened forces after carrying out increased training the past few months. The security officials noted the movement of Syrian Scud missiles near the border with Israel and said Syria recently increased production of rockets and acquired missiles capable of hitting central Israeli population centers.

The Syrian army has improved its fortifications, according to the Israeli security officials, and has received modern, Russian-made anti-tank missiles similar to the missiles that devastated Israeli tanks during the last Lebanon war, causing the highest number of Israeli troop casualties during the 34-days of military confrontations. Syria also received from Russia advanced anti-aircraft missiles.

The security officials said any conflict with Syria could degenerate into a larger war involving Hezbollah along Israel's northern border and Palestinian terror groups launching attacks from Gaza in the south and the West Bank toward the center of Israel.

The reports of war also come amid a flurry of articles in the Arab media the past few days claiming Syria has warned its citizens residing in Lebanon to leave the country ahead of a civil war there. Israeli security officials noted the possibility of a civil war in Lebanon and said there were strong concerns violence there could be used as an excuse for Hezbollah or Palestinian groups to attack Israel."  http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=56584

At the same time, significant differences have cropped up between the Arab League and Israel presenting doubt that they (Arab League) will even show up for what would have been a first historic meeting between the two. The meeting was planned to take place this Thursday in Israel.

In a meeting Monday with Quartet Middle East peace envoy Tony Blair, ten EU foreign ministers asked him to turn up the pressure on Israel to compromise a little bit more in an attempt to bolster Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas.  They also discussed the idea of bringing in an international military force that would keep the peace while negotiators ironed out a resolution that all sides could agree upon.  Truthfully, if anything is going to get done an outside military presence with the power to use force will have to be installed.  If Blair could get all sides to agree to this it would certainly be a very positive first step.

It will be interesting to see what direction Mr. Blair does take in the next several months to bridge the gap between Israel and the Arab League, and calm the winds of war.  I would assume that a war in the Middle East would not be in his best interest.

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Terry Malone