Latest Prophecy Commentary
The identity of Israel’s post-Olmert prime minister will determine its war options on Iran; Israel reassures West: No Iran attack in 2008...
According to Debkafile, a Middle East intelligence and security website, their intelligence sources have disclosed that many factors will determine when Israel will attack Iran's nuclear facilities. It is obvious that a strike is imminent, but not necessarily in 2008. Here are some of the options and possible repercussions that must be considered before action is taken:
1. Contrary to most reports, including those put out by Teheran, Iran is lagging behind its target date for producing a sufficiency of weapons-grade uranium. It is held up by the technical hitches dogging the smooth, continuous activation of its high-grade centrifuges.
2. Moscow has suspended all sales of sophisticated air defense systems to Iran and Syria alike – so that Israel has no cause for haste on that score.
3. That Iran is heading for a nuclear weapon is no longer in doubt. What Israel must decide very soon is whether to strike Iran’s production facilities before Bush leaves the White House or wait for his successor to move in, in 2009.
There is a preference in Jerusalem for a date straight after the America’s November 4 presidential election - except that military experts warn that weather and lunar conditions at that time of the year are unfavorable.
If Israel does opt for an attack, August and September would be better, they say - or else hold off until March-April 2009.
Israel’s political volatility is another major factor in the uncertainty surrounding an attack. Towards the end of September, the ruling Kadima party is committed to a leadership primary. The party’s choice of prime minister and the factors that determine how he (or she) reaches a decision on attacking Iran can only be guessed at.
4. A final consideration must be Israel’s ability to prevent Syria and Hamas opening war fronts at the time of Israel’s attack on Iran. In other words, the IDF needs to know it must contend with two fronts, Iran and the Lebanese Hizballah, not four. Debkafile
Recently, an Israeli official sent signals to the West that no Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear sites would take place in 2008. "There will not be any operation in 2008," the official said. "An operation such as this must be coordinated — at least with the United States." World Tribune
It will be interesting over the next six months if that remains to be the case.
In other news:
"Unofficial reports from Iran, supported by several
Iranian legislators, suggest that Tehran is willing to suspend its nuclear
program for at least six weeks as a goodwill gesture to the West."
"According to the reports, released on various Iranian Web sites, Tehran
would suspend the installation of new centrifuges at the Natanz nuclear facility
in the first stage of the suspension, after which it would be willing to halt
the enrichment of uranium for an undetermined amount of time."
"The steps would be taken in exchange for the launching of new talks with
the five representatives of the United Nations Security Council and Germany
(P5+1)." Haaretz
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Terry Malone
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